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NAR Explains DOJ Settlement

A few weeks ago, both NAR and the DOJ announced a settlement of the suit broought by DOJ against NAR reagrding its VOW policies and competitive restricition created by the policy.

Here is the official scripted response by NAR from Vicki Cox Golder, 2008 NAR First Vice President & Laurie Janik, NAR General Counsel. NAR President Dick Gaylord is also featured here.

Housing #s – Signs of Improvement?

It’s a mixed bag. The new homes sales performance shows small bursts in market pockets that might be interpreted as signs of improvement. However, we cannot definitively state, “we have hit bottom” at least not yet and probably not until late 2009. However, before the bottom comes, look for more mixed signs indicating adjustments to the downward trend such as more mortgage shake out and more upheaval amoung even the stronges brokerage brands.

REALonomics believes real estate markets follow a distinct business cycle, characterized by forced change brought on by new technology advancements that redefine how the industry creates and sustains ROI. We are in what we call a “consumer trough.” The bottom occurs somewhere during this trough and the change will only be seen with the introduction and adoption of new business models that facilitate market accelleration.

REALonomics stands by its analysis that the real estate housing market fluctuates in accordance with “Power Cycles” and the next one will occur sometime in 2011; See the REALonomics Power Cycle analysis.

Copyright © 2008, MSNBC.

Bill Gates – ‘92 Predictions

Bill Gates will stand in the halls of business history as the person who transformed not only technology but entire segments of the business world with an operating platform called “Windows” that dominates the globe with an approximate 90% market share.

Upon his retirement from Microsoft, REALonomics is honoring Bill Gates and his contributions to business and of course, who could question his influence on the real estate industry? Here’s a video from 1992 with some of Bill’s predictions.

Brokaw Chats with Bill Gates

Today, June 27, 2008 was his last day at the helm. No other person in our lifetime influenced technology like Bill Gates, Founder of Microsoft. His Disk Operating System (DOS), Windows platforms and Microsoft Office changed not only business but people and now the world.

Through video REALonomics salutes Bill Gates for his contribution to business and indeed, who can deny, the real estate industry itself.

Below is Tom Brokaw’s interview with Bill Gates about his exit from Microsoft, his influence and his future in philanthropy.

DOJ & NAR SETTLE SUIT – It looks like everyone’s coming up roses!

REALonomics Editorial

There is an old saying, “After all is said and done, more will be said than is done.” The long battle between the Department of Justice (DOJ) and the National Association of Realtors (NAR) was declared “settled” today.

Not so fast! After a reading of the Final Judgment document, REALonomics offers the following cursory observations:

• THE GOOD: NAR cannot prohibit the distribution of full MLS listing information;
• THE BAD: Local Associations cannot engage in unique policies about local listing distribution;
• THE UGLY: NAR must report to the DOJ quarterly…this ain’t over, folks;

After all has been said and done, more has been said…and spent…than done with respect to how the real estate industry under the leadership of NAR has moved from its control model to a transparent model that will unleash the kind of innovation and consumer-centric services we need.

Furthermore, the DOJ has now completed one of its central objectives, to position itselfself as the sole arbiter of real estate property information access, all local associations and members of NAR and more importantly, as we have said before, to eventually control services and commissions.

Mark this down and highlight it: When the DOJ does anything under the banner of “public interest” there is a north and south point of reference, depending on one’s facing. Decide for yourself what this important section of the settlement might mean to the industry, long term and short term (highlights ours):

The big loser here is actually the industry itself, the thousands of broker/owners and yes, temporarily, even the consumer. NAR will remain under the DOJ microscope for some time to come. This entire debacle, we predict, is the precursor to mandated services and commission control. In this case, we hope to be wrong. The solution, we have long contended, is a reinvention of our models, how we use and distribute property information and finally, how we best serve the consumer, our ultimate client.

The settlement serves no real purpose yet! It’s just more of the same old square dancing between NAR and the DOJ. But watch out when people say it means nothing fail to see the overall DOJ strategy fuel by anti real estate indutry sentiment from consumer watch dog groups.

PRINCIPLE: It’s about the MONEY, stupid…commissions. This is just the beginning of a long death march toward more national scrutiny. We are going to tango with the DOJ again. This is not really about VOWs and property information. It truly is about US, the industry and our practices that smell of control and dominance and to quote the DOJ, anti-trust inclinations.

BIG WINNERS: The non-brokers, non-industry innovators and the neo-brokers are the big winners here. The “judgement” is a precursor, nothing more, nothing less. It’s the swinging open of a previously locked door so that we can see what’s on the other side. It’s what lawyers call “precident” and “legal trending.”

BIG WINNERS: Transparent advocates. It will be impossible to thwart the Democratization of Real Estate in an ultimate sense. This decision is like a strand of DNA but not the entire structure.

True, NAR may now face restrictions on its traditional control tactics but there’s more to the story when we recognize that competitors are waiting in the wings to bring open-sourced property information models to the forefront by empowering property owners to do whatever they please.

Our issue as an industry remains completely unchanged. Why haven’t we been able or willing or both to reinvent this industry into a vibrant, consumer-centric model that both empowers users and delivers adequate and sustained profit to broker/owners. The short answer is we don’t know how to do it!

For now we will simply continue the NAR/DOJ dance until one of them collapses. Does anyone think the DOJ will collapse?

READ THE Final Judgment.

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